Kesknädala turu taskuhääling – 7. aprill

The Market Week – April – Week 1

The focus of attention once again this week is on the Võlakirjaturg, as the US 10-year treasury yield reversed from 1.76% et 1.63%, which also pulled the USD lower, as April got into full swing following the Easter holidays. President Biden outlined his $2.25 tn Infrastructure plans, with more details promised during the month. The IMF lifted global growth forecasts to 6% for 2021 on expectations of a strong US economy.

The details of Bill Hwang’s Archegose pealinn collapse came into focus as Credit Suisse announced a loss of $ 4.7 bn. and parted ways with their Head of Risk (Lara Warner) and their investment banking chief (Brian Chin). Archegos had reported assets of $10 bn but highly leveraged positions of around $50 bn when the margin calls began.

Unemployment remains stubbornly high globally but this week signs of a turnaround continued in the USA. The Mitterahaline palgafond was a blockbuster, beating the consensus of 650,000 new jobs for March and posting a 916,000 gain, with töötus alla kukkudes 6.0% and revisions for 2021 adding an additional 156,000 new jobs. However, last week’s unemployment claims moved up over 700,000 again to 719,000, missing expectations, and the private payrolls from ADP also missed expectations at 517,000.

The vaccine rollouts continue to gain traction globally, however, the situation in the EU, with rising infections, extended lockdowns and a low vaccination rate, coupled with the persistent concerns over the AstraZeneca vaccine, weigh on the EUR. India and Brazil remain key infection hotspots. On olnud 678.6 miljonit vaktsiinid given across 179i riigid.

This week FX volatility continued as the USD reversed its March gains. The USDIndeks fell from five-month highs at 93.45 to test lows at 92.25. EURUSD moved over 1.1800 from five-month lows at 1.1704 to test the 200-day moving average at 1.1880. USDJPY was the biggest reverse, moving from one-year highs at 110.96 to 109.57 madalseisud. Kaabel moved up from the mid-1.3700s to test 1.3900 veel kord.

Global stock markets turned more volatile as the rotation from high growth technology stocks to financials, energies and industrials continued. The USA30 & USA500 postitanud uued kõigi aegade rekordidÜle 33,400 ja 4,080, Vastavalt.

. Kuldne price moved significantly higher this week, from the key $1685 support level, breaking and holding over $1725 and peaking at $1745 as the USD and yields cooled. Bitcoin also had another volatile week and konsolideerub around immediate resistance at $58,000 but eyes a new all-time high over $60,000.

USÕli prices moved lower and remain under $60.00 a barrel as the consequences of the OPEC+ production increases weigh, balanced by the improving economic outlook as forecast by the IMF.

Tootlus US 10-Year Treasury Note holds above the psychological 1.50% level but has retraced significantly from the 14-month highs last week at 1.76% alla testima 1.63%.

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Stuart Cowell

Peaturuanalüütik

Lahtiütlus: See materjal on esitatud üldise turundusteatena ainult teavitamise eesmärgil ega kujuta endast sõltumatut investeerimisuuringut. Mitte miski selles teatises ei sisalda investeerimisnõuandeid või investeerimissoovitust ega üleskutset mis tahes finantsinstrumendi ostmiseks või müümiseks ega peaks seda sisaldama. Kogu esitatud teave on kogutud usaldusväärsetest allikatest ja mis tahes teave, mis sisaldab viiteid varasemale tootlusele, ei ole tulevase tootluse garantii ega usaldusväärne näitaja. Kasutajad tunnistavad, et mis tahes investeeringut finantsvõimendusega toodetesse iseloomustab teatav ebakindlus ja iga seda laadi investeeringuga kaasneb kõrge riskitase, mille eest vastutavad ja vastutavad ainuisikuliselt kasutajad. Me ei vastuta kahjude eest, mis tulenevad käesolevas teatises esitatud teabe põhjal tehtud investeeringutest. Seda teadet ei tohi reprodutseerida ega edasi levitada ilma meie eelneva kirjaliku loata.

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