A turbulent week ahead

It’s been quite a volatile start to the week which is unlikely to abate considering what’s to come over the next few days.

Central banks are lining up this week to deliver huge rate hikes as the desperate fight against inflation continues. The Fed headlines on Wednesday but others will follow including the BoE, SNB, SARB and the Norges Bank on Thursday.

The BoJ will also meet on Thursday but the topic of conversation there will likely be how to generate sustainable inflation, not fight it, and the spiralling yen. The CBRT meanwhile will ponder how much to cut rates again despite inflation topping 80%.

PBOC between a rock and a hard place

Benchmark lending rates in China were left unchanged overnight as the central bank continues the balancing act of supporting the economy as well as a falling currency. The one-year LPR was left unchanged at 3.65% while the five-year was also left unchanged at 4.3%. This didn’t come as a surprise after the MLF was also unchanged last week. The PBOC is truly between a rock and a hard place at the moment, made all the worse by lockdown uncertainty amid various Covid outbreaks and an ongoing zero-tolerance approach.

Will bitcoin break the June low?

Another turbulent session for bitcoin at the start of the week in which it came close to its June low before recovering alongside other risk assets. While that may come as a relief in the short term, it may also generate some nerves as a break of that low could see it spiral lower once more. It’s not a great environment for risk assets and central banks could deliver another blow this week. ​

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar: www.marketpulse.com/economic-events/

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary.

His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News.

Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.

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