The current USDJPY structure suggests that the formation of a global cycle impulse could have been completed not so long ago. Then the fall of the exchange rate and the formation of a new bearish trend began.
It is assumed that a bearish double zigzag of the primary degree Ⓦ-Ⓧ-Ⓨ may form in the market. To date, the actionary wave Ⓦ and the intervening wave Ⓧ may have been completed.
Thus, in the near future we can expect the development of the final actionary wave Ⓨ, which may take the form of a double zigzag (W)-(X)-(Y), and end near 127.93. At that level, wave Ⓨ will be equal to wave Ⓦ.
Alternatively, it is assumed that in the bearish double zigzag, only the first actionary wave Ⓦ is completed, and the intervening wave Ⓧ is still under development.
Perhaps the wave Ⓧ will have the form of a zigzag (A)-(B)-(C), as shown in the chart. In the near future, the price growth may continue in the sub-wave (C) to 138.75.
At that level, wave Ⓧ will be at 38.2% along the Fibonacci lines of wave Ⓦ.
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- Sursa: https://www.orbex.com/blog/en/2022/12/usdjpy-bearish-trend-likely-to-complete-near-127-93
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