Ubijanje Bitcoina med pozitivnim zborom bi lahko hiper-bikovska skupnost ocenila kot cinično, vendar je pomembno opozoriti na pomembne preobrate. Konec koncev je sredstvo 20. julija sprožilo neusmiljeno okrevanje in z zdrave strani "ukoreninjenje" proti Bitcoinu zdaj dolgoročno pomaga le še digitalnemu sredstvu.
V skladu s to mislijo smo analizirali nekaj pomembnih signalov, ki so se pojavili v zadnjih 24 urah in ki bi lahko v naslednjih dneh delovali kot ključni vpogled.
SMA spopad za Bitcoin?
Vir: Trgovalni pogled
The Simple Moving Average is an indicator that on a long-term frame has effectively facilitated strong moves for Bitcoin. On 9th August, BTC managed to close above 200-SMA but since then, there has been more of a struggle. Over the past week, BTC hasn’t generated enough ground away from the SMA, and at press time, the asset might close below the resistance once again.
Historically whenever Bitcoin has strongly breached above the 200-SMA, a bullish rally has ensued. Yet, there have been cases when hesitation near the SMA has caused corrections. For Bitcoin, this might just be a lack of momentum needed to push the price above the moving average.
Vir: Jarvis Labs
Secondly, according to datum, Bitcoin’s fair value deviation is currently under the 0-zero line in the above chart. FVD is a metric created which is identified by keeping the fair value in mind. At the moment, the indicator is largely under the bull-bear flip(zero-line), which suggests that Bitcoin hasn’t really locked in definite bullish momentum in the chart.
Tudi položaj BTC glede na kazalnik ni medvedji, je pa na območju, kjer je vsekakor mogoče pričakovati popravke.
Dilema glede stopnje financiranja za Bitcoin?
Vir: Jarvis Labs
Da, stopnja financiranja je še vedno pozitivna, vendar ni več na ustreznem območju. Ker se obrestne mere za druge pare altcoin povečujejo, je treba kratkoročno pričakovati agresivno korekcijo. Če natančno opazujemo grafikon, se je stopnja financiranja Bitcoina rahlo negativno spremenila, kar pomeni, da se prodajni pritisk že začne povečevati na različnih borzah.
Ali se lahko trg še okrepi?
Bitcoin’s market has rallied for 2 weeks so there is no doubt that it will rally again. It might rally from the current position, but right now, it is short of momentum. With the market strongly consolidating the past week, BTC is at a breakout week; it’s either $42k support or $50k jump.
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Vir: https://ambcrypto.com/bitcoin-why-this-might-not-be-the-dip-to-buy/