Market Update – Month End – USD weak, Stocks & Commodities Bid

Market News Today – S&P500 closed at ATH again. USD slipped again (EUR at 2-mth high and up 3%+ for April, USDCAD at 3  year lows). AMZN Earnings big beat – +44% increase in sales ($108.5bn); record profits (tripled) AWS +32%, Ad sales a massive +77%; Shares +2.4% after-hours. TWTR beats, rev +28% ($1.04Bn). Yields rallied to 1.69% 2-week high (now 1.641%). Yesterday – US GDP (6.4%), Claims (553K) and Pending Home sales (1.9%) all missed expectations. Overnight Japanese data better than expected, Chinese data mixed (both close until Wednesday).

JPY under 109.00 at 108.75 (PP), Cable at 1.3945 (PP) and AUD rejected 0.7800 yesterday trades at 0.7775 (PP)

USOIL at 6- week high peaked at $65.00, Gold – $1770 following volatile session (highs 1790, lows 1756) BTC under 53,000 on close – back to 54,300 (PP) now.

European Open – Risk aversion picked up again overnight as investors were spooked by China’s anti-trust crackdown, although the DAX future is up 0.2%, after an unexpected expansion in French GDP at the start of the session and yesterday’s underperformance. The FTSE 100 future is down -0.2% and U.S. futures are also in the red, with the tech-heavy NASDAQ underperforming and down -0.4%.

Today – German GDP (Flash), EZ CPI (Flash) & GDP (Prelim), US PCE & Chicago PMI, Fed’s Kaplan. Earnings from Exxon, Chevron, Phillips 66, AbbVie, Colgate-Palmolive, AstraZeneca, Barclays, BBVA, BNP, Eni

Biggest (FX) Mover @ (07:30 GMT) EURAUD (-0.20%) rejected 1.5600 again yesterday moved under 50- and 20-hr MA and Daily PP. Next support 200-hr MA & S1 at 1.5550. Faster MAs remain aligned lower, RSI 47  & cooling , MACD histogram & signal line aligned lower but remain above 0 line. Stochs rising. H1 ATR 0.0014, Daily ATR 0.0056.

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Stuart Cowell

Head Market Analyst

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